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A Real Psychic...
July 11, 2010
10:56 pm PDT
HeidiAnn67
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June 14, 2009
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He didnt miss a single prediction during the World Cup

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/new…..worldnews/…o=feeds-newsxml

I wonder what he would charge me to do a reading /wink.png' class='bbc_emoticon' alt=':)' />

July 12, 2010
12:11 am PDT
MysticalKnight
California
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December 29, 2012
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70021

/unsure.png' class='bbc_emoticon' alt=':)' />

Fairy.jpg
July 12, 2010
10:47 pm PDT
BornAware
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Forum Posts: 1741
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September 7, 2009
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70059

Here is something I copied from a blog I read daily. I won't say which blog, because most people around here wouldn't appreciate it. But, I though the blog summed it up nicely.

"I know you all mean well, but 30-40 emails a day just about the German octopus 'predicting' World Cup matches is wearing me out. I have to explain a few things.

Cephalopods are not psychic. Nothing is.

If this were real, it would be Paul the Precognitive Octopus. It's telling the future, not reading minds.

Cephalopods cannot see into the future. Nothing can.

As this game is set up, there's a simple 50% chance in any trial that the octopus will guess correctly. It has guessed correctly 6 times; there's a 1 in 64 chance you could get the same result flipping a quarter.

Cephalopods are smart and responsive. This scenario is ripe for the Clever Hans effect, which means the handler's knowledge about likely winners can greatly improve the odds of the observed result.

I'm sure that the aquarium housing Paul could use a little extra money. If the octopus actually does have paranormal powers, they should apply for Randi's million dollar challenge. I'm sure they won't, because they know that in a well-controlled experiment, Paul's amazing abilities would suddenly disappear.

I really detest this kind of prolonged silly indulgence in a common supernatural belief by a purportedly scientific organization. Once is a lark, a joke, a funny bit of self-mockery — stretching it out turns it into an exercise in misinformation.

I hate to see a beautiful cephalopod smeared with that ignoble reputation.

FREE THE OCTOPUS! IMPRISON THE DISHONEST MEDIA!"

As a matter of fact, Randi's million dollar challenge is up for grabs for anyone on this site too.

(As an aside, I'm sure people will LOVE me for this post.) <——Sarcasm

Imagine there's no heaven, it's easy if you try.



John Lennon





That which is unchallenged and exercised as habit rapidly becomes ritual.

When this occurs, dissent becomes an object of surprise, if not resentment.



B. Carmon Hardy
July 12, 2010
10:51 pm PDT
HeidiAnn67
Member
Forum Posts: 15116
Member Since:
June 14, 2009
Offline
70060

whether it was Paul or Paul's handler (as i've actually discussed that possibility with Cheryl haha)

making the correct guesses…it's impressive. a 1 in 64 chance is still a long shot that Paul would

pick right every match. /smile.png' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='Laugh' />

he's shown more ability then any self proclaimed psychics i've met /wink.png' class='bbc_emoticon' alt=';)' />

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